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quant
25 quant tools. The full 2026 fantasy draft board free — no key, no email. Kalshi & Polymarket.
Tools
25
GitHub stars
—
Installs / wk
—
Licence
MIT
Transport
streamable-http, stdio
Last checked
28h ago
Tools & capabilities
25 toolsRead from the running server on 28h ago.
adp_market_gaps
read-only
limitscoringposition
Find the 2026 fantasy players whose Average Draft Position swings most between platforms — consensus vs ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, Underdog, etc. A wide gap (e.g. "consensus RB18 but ES… Find the 2026 fantasy players whose Average Draft Position swings most between platforms — consensus vs ESPN, Sleeper, Yahoo, Underdog, etc. A wide gap (e.g. "consensus RB18 but ESPN drafts him RB30") is a platform-specific value: grab him where he goes latest. All 154 gaps are FREE — no key, no email. Pro adds the judgment layer on each row. Use for "ADP differences by platform", "where is a player cheapest", "ADP arbitrage", "who falls on ESPN vs Sleeper". Filter by position (QB/RB/WR/TE/FLEX).
base_rate_gap
read-only
baseRateIdmarketPrice*baseRateValue
Compare a market price against the historical base rate for a class of events and get the gap in percentage points plus a signal and sample-size quality. Pass either a known base-r… Compare a market price against the historical base rate for a class of events and get the gap in percentage points plus a signal and sample-size quality. Pass either a known base-rate id (one of: incumbent_reelected, fed_hold_unemp_below_4, fed_cut_cpi_above_3, recession_called_12mo, sp500_positive_year, bitcoin_above_100k_eoy, gdp_growth_above_2, cpi_above_3, senate_incumbent_wins_primary, vix_below_20_eoy, interest_rate_cut_next_meeting, major_sports_upset) or your own baseRateValue. Use for "how does this price compare to history", "is the market ignoring the base rate", "historical frequency vs market".
bayes_update
read-only
prior*evidence*
Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)… Update a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".
best_available
read-only
teamsrosterdraftedscoringplatformpick_number*
Given the current pick number and the players already drafted, return the best players still on the board (2026, any scoring format), each with projection, ADP, and a value flag, p… Given the current pick number and the players already drafted, return the best players still on the board (2026, any scoring format), each with projection, ADP, and a value flag, plus the biggest model value available. The full remaining pool is FREE — no key, no email. Pro adds boom/bust week odds and the positional tier breaks across everyone still on the board. Prefer this mid-draft when the user asks "who is the best available", "who should I take next", "best player left". Input: pick_number, drafted (names already gone).
calculate_ev
read-only
marketPrice*yourProbability*
Calculate the expected-value edge on a Kalshi or Polymarket prediction-market contract. Given the current market price (in cents, i.e. the implied probability) and your own probabi… Calculate the expected-value edge on a Kalshi or Polymarket prediction-market contract. Given the current market price (in cents, i.e. the implied probability) and your own probability estimate, returns the % edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal with a plain-English read. Use for "is this contract mispriced", "what is my edge", "should I take this position". From the PredictionMarketsPicks desk, which publishes a settled per-engine record — every signal graded against the market that priced it, wins and losses both: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
combo_edge
read-only
legPrices*offeredOddstrueWinProbability*
Grade a same-game combo (parlay-style multi-leg position) on a prediction market against its fair value. Given each leg price in cents and your correlation-aware estimate of the tr… Grade a same-game combo (parlay-style multi-leg position) on a prediction market against its fair value. Given each leg price in cents and your correlation-aware estimate of the true joint win probability, returns the fair-value ODDS BAND to grade a quote against. Pass offeredOdds — the price your platform actually quotes for the combo (Kalshi combo RFQ or an SGP product) — to get the expected-value %, a negative-correlation-trap flag, and a 7-tier verdict (SMASH / PLAY / LEAN / RISK / NO_VALUE / PASS / RUN). Without offeredOdds it returns fair value + band only (no verdict) — never grade EV off the product of the leg prices, which no venue pays. Use for "is this combo worth it", "grade my parlay quote", "same-game combo value". From the PredictionMarketsPicks desk, which publishes a settled per-engine record — every signal graded against the market that priced it, wins and losses both: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
commodity_edge
read-only
tickerscommodity*
Get today's highest-conviction silver or bitcoin trade signal from the PMP edge model — the Kalshi weekly-silver (KXSILVERW) or twice-daily bitcoin (KXBTCD) strike with the largest… Get today's highest-conviction silver or bitcoin trade signal from the PMP edge model — the Kalshi weekly-silver (KXSILVERW) or twice-daily bitcoin (KXBTCD) strike with the largest model edge, as a trade ticket: entry side and price, resolve criterion, model probability, edge in percentage points, confidence tier, and quarter-Kelly sizing. Pro key required. Use for "silver edge today", "bitcoin trade signal", "is there a commodity edge". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (returns the signal only if it matches the strike PMP is modeling).
compare_players
read-only
players*scoringplatform
Compare 2–4 players side by side for a 2026 fantasy draft (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, draft round, and value flag — and get a pick recommenda… Compare 2–4 players side by side for a 2026 fantasy draft (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — projection, floor/ceiling, ADP, draft round, and value flag — and get a pick recommendation plus which one is the best market value. Free, no key. Use for "<A> or <B> in fantasy", "who should I draft, <A> or <B>", "compare <A> and <B>", "start/draft <A> vs <B>".
convert_probability
read-only
value*format*
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use f… Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
draft_board
read-only
limitteamsscoringplatformposition
The PredictionMarketsPicks 2026 fantasy football draft board (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — every player ranked, blending our projection model with consensus ADP, showing proje… The PredictionMarketsPicks 2026 fantasy football draft board (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR) — every player ranked, blending our projection model with consensus ADP, showing projected points, ADP, draft round, and a SLEEPER / BUST value flag. Filter by position (QB/RB/WR/TE/FLEX). THE COMPLETE BOARD IS FREE — all ~330 players, no key, no email, no signup. Pro adds the judgment on top: boom/bust week odds per player and positional tier breaks. Use for "fantasy football rankings 2026", "who are the top RBs", "draft board", "best available by position".
edge_alerts
read-only
feedlimitsincemin_tier
Read the edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings — as a live feed. Each alert carries feed, tier (SPECULATIVE/MODERATE/STRONG)… Read the edge alerts our models generate on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, and mispricings — as a live feed. Each alert carries feed, tier (SPECULATIVE/MODERATE/STRONG), side, price in cents, model probability, edge in percentage points, and a Kalshi market link. A Pro key returns the feed in real time; without a key you get the same feed delayed 24 hours with the thesis stripped. Every subscriber receives the identical, impersonal feed at the same time — the signals are not tailored to any individual. Filters (feed, min_tier, since) SELECT which alerts you see; they never change the signal content. Use for "any edge on Kalshi", "weather trade signals", "latest mispricings". Impersonal market analysis for informational purposes only, not investment advice. Trade responsibly.
explain_player
read-only
player*scoringplatform
Explain WHY the 2026 draft board ranks a player where it does, factor by factor: projection, floor/ceiling band, boom/bust week shape, and the three separate ranks a board row carr… Explain WHY the 2026 draft board ranks a player where it does, factor by factor: projection, floor/ceiling band, boom/bust week shape, and the three separate ranks a board row carries — our model's own positional rank, the market's ADP, and the published blend between them — plus the edge between model and market. Also states what the projection does NOT model (injuries, camp news, schedule). Free, no key. Use for "why do you have <player> there", "explain <player> ranking", "what's driving <player>'s projection", "why is <player> a sleeper/bust". For a plain outlook or a verdict rather than the reasoning, use player_outlook.
fed_rate_odds
read-only
Live market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting, from Kalshi. Returns the next meeting with days-until and its full strike… Live market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut, hold or hike at each remaining 2026 FOMC meeting, from Kalshi. Returns the next meeting with days-until and its full strike breakdown, plus the whole remaining rate path and the current fed funds rate. Free, no key. Also returns a cross-venue block comparing Kalshi against Polymarket and CME fed funds futures-implied odds for the next meeting, with the disagreement in percentage points. Free, no key. Use for "will the Fed cut rates", "fed rate hike odds", "next FOMC meeting odds", "what is the market pricing for September", "do Kalshi and Polymarket agree on the Fed".
find_arbitrage
read-only
minGap
Scan for cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). Returns each game where the two venues disagree on the impl… Scan for cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract (NBA, NHL, MLB, World Cup). Returns each game where the two venues disagree on the implied probability, the gap in percentage points, the WATCH/ARB signal, and which venue is cheaper. Free without a key: the single largest gap on the board, in full detail. One email returns the top 3; Pro returns the whole board. Use for "where is the arbitrage", "cross-platform price gaps", "Kalshi vs Polymarket mispricing". Every signal our engines publish is settled against the market that priced it and scored wins and losses in public: predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record.
kelly_size
read-only
bankrollfractionmarketPrice*winProbability*
Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction… Compute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".
market_pulse
read-only
topic
The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). The composite and the regime call are free wi… The US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime plus the six category scores (growth, labor, inflation, rates, liquidity, sentiment). The composite and the regime call are free without a key, always, along with 2 category scores; one email returns 4 and Pro returns all six. Use for "how is the US economy", "macro regime", "risk-on or risk-off". (NFL edges moved to the dedicated nfl_edge tool.)
nfl_edge
read-only
limitmarketminEdgetickers
Where the PredictionMarketsPicks NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices — the actionable edge across every NFL market: game moneylines this week, season win-total futures, MVP… Where the PredictionMarketsPicks NFL model disagrees with live Kalshi prices — the actionable edge across every NFL market: game moneylines this week, season win-total futures, MVP, and championship (playoff / conference / Super Bowl) odds. Returns model probability, Kalshi price, edge in percentage points, and the side, biggest edges first. Pro key required. Use for "which NFL games are mispriced on Kalshi", "NFL win total edges", "NFL MVP value", "Super Bowl odds edge", "NFL prediction market picks". Pass tickers[] to check specific Kalshi markets — e.g. paste your Kalshi Pro screener watchlist (applies to the futures / mvp / championship markets, which are ticker-addressable).
nfl_power_ratings
read-only
teamtierlimit
The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each te… The PredictionMarketsPicks NFL power ratings — PWR for all 32 teams: points per game above an average team on a neutral field, where PWR = Off PR + Def PR + ST PR. Includes each team's rank and tier. Free, no key. Use for "best NFL teams by power rating", "NFL power rankings 2026", "is Baltimore overrated", "how good is Kansas City", "NFL team ratings".
nfl_prop_board
read-only
gameteamlimitplayergapsOnlystatType
This week's NFL player-prop prices, venue by venue: every Kalshi prop strike with a real two-sided book, the book consensus read at that exact strike, DraftKings/FanDuel/BetRivers… This week's NFL player-prop prices, venue by venue: every Kalshi prop strike with a real two-sided book, the book consensus read at that exact strike, DraftKings/FanDuel/BetRivers lines, Novig and ProphetX exchange quotes, the Kalshi-vs-consensus gap in cents, and WHERE THE BEST PRICE for each side actually is (cents per $1 of payout, Kalshi net of fee). Free, no key. Filter by team, game, player or stat. Use for "where is the best price on Puka Nacua receiving yards", "Kalshi vs DraftKings NFL props", "NFL prop prices this week", "is Kalshi cheaper than the books".
nfl_prop_edge
read-only
limitminEdgepropType
NFL player-prop edges — the PredictionMarketsPicks projection vs the Kalshi prop line for passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions, and anytime touchdown. Every Ka… NFL player-prop edges — the PredictionMarketsPicks projection vs the Kalshi prop line for passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, receptions, and anytime touchdown. Every Kalshi prop is an "X or more" contract; each row returns the contract (e.g. "3+ receptions"), the call (YES / NO), our odds and the Kalshi price for the called side, the model projection, the edge, and the raw over/under inputs. Live in-season (opens NFL Week 1). Pro key required. Use for "NFL player prop edges", "best NFL props today", "passing yards over under", "receiving yards prop value".
nfl_win_probability
read-only
totalspreadawayTeamhomeTeam
Turn an NFL point spread and game total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability — using the PredictionMarketsPicks scoring-margin model… Turn an NFL point spread and game total into win probability, projected score, cover probability, and over/under probability — using the PredictionMarketsPicks scoring-margin model. Provide the spread (home-favored = negative, e.g. -6.5) and optional total, OR two team abbreviations to auto-derive the spread from the power ratings. Free, no key. Use for "NFL win probability from the spread", "what does a -7 spread mean", "who wins Chiefs vs 49ers", "NFL score prediction".
player_outlook
read-only
player*scoringplatform
A single player's 2026 fantasy outlook (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR): projected points and per-game, floor/ceiling range, boom/bust odds, consensus ADP and draft round, our posi… A single player's 2026 fantasy outlook (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR): projected points and per-game, floor/ceiling range, boom/bust odds, consensus ADP and draft round, our positional rank, and whether the model tags him a SLEEPER or a BUST vs the market, with a one-line thesis. Free, no key. Use for "is <player> a sleeper", "<player> fantasy outlook 2026", "should I draft <player>", "<player> projection".
scan_mispricings
read-only
limitminEdge
Scan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm). Returns each market where the model disagrees with the price, the direction to take, the edge… Scan Polymarket contracts for mispricings against the PMP model (a probability swarm). Returns each market where the model disagrees with the price, the direction to take, the edge in percentage points, and quarter-Kelly sizing, sorted by absolute edge. Pro key required. Use for "where is the edge today", "mispriced markets", "what should I trade".
sleepers_and_busts
read-only
roundteamsscoringplatformposition
The biggest gaps between the PredictionMarketsPicks model and consensus ADP for 2026 (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR): SLEEPERS the model ranks well above their draft cost, and BUS… The biggest gaps between the PredictionMarketsPicks model and consensus ADP for 2026 (standard, half-PPR or full-PPR): SLEEPERS the model ranks well above their draft cost, and BUSTS it ranks below. Filter by position or draft round. Every sleeper and every bust is FREE — the complete list, no key, no email. Use for "fantasy sleepers 2026", "draft busts to avoid", "undervalued players", "overrated fantasy players", "late-round sleepers".
who_do_i_draft
read-only
teamsroster*draftedscoringplatformpick_number*